Mosquito populations are highly sensitive to environmental conditions, particularly temperature, rainfall, and humidity, that affect breeding, survival, and biting rates. To improve our ability to anticipate future dengue trends, we examined climate change projections for Thailand throughout the 21st century. By incorporating these projections into our models, we aim to better understand how long-term shifts…

In January 2025, our team developed a compartmental model to simulate the spread of dengue, explicitly incorporating the two main circulating strains of the virus. This approach allows us to account for the complex dynamics linked to cross-immunity. The model is calibrated at the provincial level across all of Thailand, enabling us to capture both…